You know the annoying guy in your NCAA office pool who just picks the top seeds all the way down? That's me this year. About the only thing I was conflicted on was the Best Directing Oscar, and for that I couldn't help but go with the consensus. Otherwise, seems that there will be very few upsets.
As the night goes on, keep an eye on the Best Production Design and Best Editing Oscars, those'll be a key indicator of how things are swinging. (Though, as my picks show, a "12 Years" loss in those categories isn't necessarily a sign it's going to lose the top prize.)
Best Picture: "12 Years a Slave"
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity"
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave"
Best Original Screenplay: Spike Jonze, "Her"
Best Adapted Screenplay: John Ridley, "12 Years a Slave"
Best Foreign Language: "The Hunt"
Best Cinematography: "Gravity"
Best Editing: "Gravity"
Best Production Design: "Gravity"
Best Costume Design: "12 Years a Slave"
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: "Dallas Buyers Club"
Best Original Score: "Gravity"
Best Original Song: Let It Go, "Frozen"
Best Sound Mixing: "Gravity"
Best Sound Editing: "Gravity"
Best Visual Effects: "Gravity"
Best Documentary Feature: "The Act of Killing"
Best Documentary Short Subject: "The Lady in Number 6"
Best Live Action Short: "Helium"
Best Animated Short: "Get a Horse!"